Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.079255 1.215628 1.364348 1.538854 1.738364 1.959752 2.224595
2026-01-11 0.888763 1.072887 1.289565 1.564511 1.905714 2.317295 2.854490
2026-01-18 0.753979 0.962827 1.224374 1.578499 2.049308 2.659098 3.517389
2026-01-25 0.642208 0.859137 1.145233 1.554336 2.131105 2.925367 4.119537
2026-02-01 0.543909 0.756451 1.049200 1.487649 2.137628 3.081449 4.584852
2026-02-08 0.473464 0.681334 0.978830 1.443127 2.163162 3.260161 5.102466
2026-02-15 0.420291 0.623580 0.924714 1.412555 2.200888 3.456238 5.670745
2026-02-22 0.393880 0.601940 0.920628 1.456115 2.357278 3.856770 6.635768
2026-03-01 0.364805 0.572462 0.900240 1.469493 2.463539 4.185639 7.526418
2026-03-08 0.330700 0.531116 0.855928 1.436743 2.484860 4.367399 8.173294
2026-03-15 0.300745 0.493446 0.813473 1.401482 2.495698 4.528968 8.803691
2026-03-22 0.289623 0.486194 0.821316 1.455361 2.675260 5.027782 10.191476
2026-03-29 0.274787 0.472110 0.817595 1.491122 2.832213 5.519787 11.690485
2026-04-05 0.260367 0.457440 0.811486 1.522089 2.985275 6.030608 13.342330
2026-04-12 0.245326 0.440146 0.798726 1.538534 3.111283 6.505519 15.014650
2026-04-19 0.227034 0.415015 0.768585 1.516344 3.152535 6.802042 16.320558
2026-04-26 0.205837 0.382399 0.720784 1.452020 3.092957 6.860737 17.038456
2026-05-03 0.189171 0.357102 0.684993 1.408924 3.075003 7.013672 18.037435
2026-05-10 0.175542 0.336614 0.656924 1.379265 3.083836 7.232356 19.264665
2026-05-17 0.170143 0.332181 0.661259 1.421743 3.269188 7.920406 21.987312
2026-05-24 0.162413 0.322260 0.653105 1.434797 3.384619 8.448297 24.365592
2026-05-31 0.151456 0.304672 0.626944 1.402911 3.382796 8.663856 25.829989
2026-06-07 0.141233 0.287829 0.600941 1.368570 3.370141 8.848163 27.241604